[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Dec 15 01:14:25 UTC 2005

ACUS11 KWNS 150111
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150111 
MIZ000-WIZ000-150445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2562
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0711 PM CST WED DEC 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NE WI AND PORTIONS OF UPPER MI

CONCERNING...PRECIPITATION TRENDS...WINTER PRECIPITATION 

VALID 150111Z - 150445Z

OCNLY MODERATE SNOW WILL SPREAD NEWD FROM FAR NE WI INTO CNTRL
PORTIONS OF UPPER MI THIS EVENING. SNOW RATES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN
BELOW 1 IN/HR. 

EAST OF STACKED UPPER CYCLONE CENTERED ALONG THE WRN MN/ERN DAKOTAS
BORDER...LIGHT/OCNLY MDT SNOW FOCUSED EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS ERN
WI INTO MI EAST OF OCCLUDED FRONT. OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS SUGGESTS
NEWD SPREAD OF ONGOING SNOWFALL FROM FAR NE WI INTO CNTRL UPPER MI
THIS EVENING...ATTRIBUTABLE TO DPVA AND LOW/MID LEVEL ISENTROPIC
ASCENT. 00Z GREEN BAY SOUNDING FEATURES 75MB WELL-SATURATED
DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER ABOVE 700MB...FAVORABLE FOR OCNLY MDT SNOW
COUPLED WITH AMPLE UVVS. SNOW RATES SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW 1
IN/HR...BUT LOCALIZED AREAS COULD EXCEED 1 IN/HR ACROSS THE SCNTRL
PORTION OF UPPER MI...INCLUDING MENOMINEE AND DELTA COUNTIES WITH
AID OF MOIST SELY TRAJECTORIES OFF LAKE MI.

..GUYER.. 12/15/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...APX...MQT...GRB...

46458604 46118584 45848634 45688661 45218705 44688750
44628799 45188891 45518895 45888884 46328806 

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