[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 311841
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 311840 
NHZ000-VTZ000-MAZ000-NYZ000-312015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2128
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0140 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NY...VT...NH...WRN MA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 311840Z - 312015Z

...DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY INCREASING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE HUDSON VALLEY...

BOUNDARY LAYER LAPSE RATES ARE STEEPENING ALONG/AHEAD OF LOW LEVEL
PREFRONTAL CONFLUENT ZONE...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE HUDSON VALLEY
WHERE MLCAPES ARE NOW ON THE ORDER OF 1000 J/KG.  ALTHOUGH MAIN SFC
LOW HAS LIFTED INTO SRN QUEBEC...IT APPEARS LOW TOPPED...SHORT LINE
SEGMENTS WILL SOON EVOLVE.  IF BOW-TYPE STRUCTURES CAN DEVELOP ALONG
THESE LINE SEGMENTS...DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR.  WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR ERN NY INTO VT FOR A SLOW UPWARD EVOLUTION OF DEEPENING
CONVECTION.

..DARROW.. 08/31/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...

42747426 44807301 44637144 42087301 

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