[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 251903
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251903 
NEZ000-SDZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-252030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2073
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0203 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY...NERN CO...WRN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 251903Z - 252030Z

...A WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...

LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS BOUNDARY LAYER THERMALS ARE STRONG
ENOUGH TO SUSTAIN DEEP CONVECTION AS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW
SPREADING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SERN WY/NRN CO.  THIS ACTIVITY
WILL SOON INTERACT WITH DOWNSTREAM ELY LOW LEVEL COMPONENT NORTH OF
FRONTAL ZONE...ENHANCING UPDRAFT STRENGTH AS LAPSE RATES STEEPEN. 
IT APPEARS SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR EXISTS TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT...AND WITH 0-1KM BULK SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF
20-25KT...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.  WW MAY BE REQUIRED
SHORTLY.

..DARROW.. 08/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...BOU...CYS...

42460441 43019999 41320115 40590422 

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