[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 242043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242043 
TXZ000-242145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2064
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WEST TX AND TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 242043Z - 242145Z

A SEVERE STORM THREAT WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS WEST TX AND THE TX
PANHANDLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE
ISSUED SHORTLY.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RUC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOW A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING NEWD ACROSS THE NRN TX PANHANDLE. THE STRONGEST
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS LOCATED ALONG A SW TO NE AXIS ACROSS WEST TX.
THIS SHOULD SUPPORT SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS. STORMS SHOULD EXPAND IN COVERAGE AND MOVE NEWD
ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS FROM NEAR AMA TO NEAR GAGE WHERE MUCAPE
VALUES ARE ABOVE 3000 J/KG. IN ADDITION...OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS
0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES OF 25 KT WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN A SEVERE
MULTICELL THREAT. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

..BROYLES.. 08/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

36120087 34980266 33970298 34090182 35250014 36150067 

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