[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 240123
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240123 
KSZ000-OKZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-240330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2060
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0823 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO THROUGH WRN KS AND THE OK PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 741...

VALID 240123Z - 240330Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ANOTHER COUPLE HOURS WITH STORMS SPREADING EWD THROUGH NE CO WITHIN
THE REMAINING PARTS OF WW 741. OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
IN COVERAGE OVER SWRN KS AND THE OK PANHANDLE...AND THESE AREAS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

CLUSTER OF STORMS CONTINUES SPREADING EWD THROUGH E CNTRL AND NE CO.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 30 KT REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF STORM
ORGANIZATION...AND THE STORM MOVING INTO KIT CARSON COUNTY CONTINUES
TO SHOW SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS. THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ON THE SRN END OF THE MCS IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO MORE
UNSTABLE LOW LEVEL INFLOW. THE COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER AND
STABILIZING EFFECTS OF CONVECTION SPREADING INTO SWRN KS MAY RESULT
IN AN OVERALL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER ANOTHER COUPLE HOURS.  

OTHER STORMS MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE FARTHER S ACROSS SWRN KS INTO
NWRN OK IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET. ISOLATED HAIL AND
STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...
STORMS SHOULD BECOME ELEVATED ABOVE THE STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER.
MOREOVER...MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE LFC THROUGH 6 KM...AND
MODEST MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY SERVE AS OVERALL LIMITING FACTORS
TO STORM ORGANIZATION.

..DIAL.. 08/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...

38500380 40180310 40740245 40480146 38800131 37349970
36640108 

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