[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 230421
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230420 
KSZ000-OKZ000-230545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2052
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 740...

VALID 230420Z - 230545Z

THREAT FOR PRIMARILY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
WITH SQUALL LINE MOVING SEWD THROUGH SWRN KS DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. SOME HAIL ALSO REMAINS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WITH SCATTERED
STORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE LINE.

LATE THIS EVENING... A SQUALL LINE WITH A COLD POOL AND EMBEDDED BOW
ECHOES JUST W OF DODGE CITY CONTINUES SEWD AT AROUND 36 KT. OTHER
STORMS ARE DEVELOPING DOWNSTREAM FROM THE LINE WITHIN THE LOW LEVEL
WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME ASSOCIATED WITH A MODEST 20-25 KT SWLY LOW
LEVEL JET. ESELY LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERING TO WLY ABOVE 2 KM IS
ENHANCING THE STORM RELATIVE INFLOW AND LIFT ALONG THE GUST FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SQUALL LINE. THE 0-6 KM VERTICAL SHEAR AROUND 30
TO 35 KT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS PROFILE IS ALSO SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
STORMS TO ROTATE...AND SUPERCELLS STRUCTURES CONTINUE TO BE OBSERVED
WITH SOME OF THE STORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE LINE. ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY PERSIST ANOTHER SEVERAL HOURS AND CONTINUE SEWD ALONG THE
AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY FROM SWRN INTO S CNTRL KS AND INTO NWRN
OK.

..DIAL.. 08/23/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...

37079867 36990132 37470113 38439926 

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