[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 221737
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221737 
SCZ000-GAZ000-221930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2050
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1237 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SC..ERN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 221737Z - 221930Z

A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL THREAT MAY EXIST BRIEFLY WITH THE
STRONGER CELLS. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN TOO MARGINAL TO
WARRANT A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON.

SFC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A WEAK FRONT IN PLACE ACROSS SRN SC AND
ERN GA. IN ADDITION...A SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY IS MOVING WWD ACROSS SRN
SC EVIDENT ON VISIBLE IMAGERY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO FORM ALONG THE BOUNDARIES WHERE EXTREME INSTABILITY
EXISTS WITH MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 3500 TO 4500 J/KG. ALTHOUGH VERY
LITTLE WIND SHEAR EXISTS...THE STRONG INSTABILITY...HIGH SFC
DEWPOINTS AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ISOLATED WET DOWNBURSTS. HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BUT SHOULD BE
VERY ISOLATED DUE TO THE WARM TEMPS ALOFT AND MARGINAL LAPSE RATES.

..BROYLES.. 08/22/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...

34478182 33798286 32628350 31168325 31128208 32288061
33118026 34188078 

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