[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 200201
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200201 
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-200300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2039
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0901 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...S CENTRAL INTO ERN KS / PARTS OF W CENTRAL AND NWRN
MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 736...

VALID 200201Z - 200300Z

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES TO DECREASE ACROSS THIS AREA.

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF WW...THOUGH STRONGEST
CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS -- OVER E CENTRAL KS/W CENTRAL MO -- ARE NOW
BEING UNDERCUT BY OUTFLOW.  THIS SUGGESTS THAT POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS IS DECREASING.  MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORM
CLUSTERS NOW APPEAR TO BE MARGINAL HAIL...AS WELL AS LOCALLY VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL -- PARTICULARLY OVER THE NRN KANSAS CITY METRO AREA
WHERE SOME TRAINING OF ECHOES WILL OCCUR OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...MAIN SEVERE THREAT REMAINS MARGINAL HAIL...THOUGH THREAT
 IS LIMITED DUE PRIMARILY TO WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT /H5
TEMPERATURES NEAR -4 C/.  WITH THREAT EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DECREASE
WITH TIME...NEW WW ISSUANCE IS NOT EXPECTED ATTM UPON THE 20/03Z
EXPIRATION OF WW 736.

..GOSS.. 08/20/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

37970026 38969674 39569532 39899414 38529436 36840030 

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