[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 200030
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200029 
NYZ000-PAZ000-200100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2038
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN NY / NWRN PA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 735...

VALID 200029Z - 200100Z

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES TO DECREASE ACROSS WW. WW MAY BE CANCELLED
BY 20/01Z.

STABLE LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS -- AS REVEALED BY PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL
CLOUDINESS -- REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF WRN NY/WRN PA AWAY
FROM THE ERIE LAKESHORE COUNTIES.  WITH MAIN LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AXIS NOW MOVING INTO THIS MORE STABLE AIRMASS...SEVERE THREAT
CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ACROSS THIS REGION.  STRONGEST STORM -- NOW
MOVING SWD INTO CLARION/JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN PA --  IS NOW S OF
WW...AND SHOULD SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY WITH TIME AS SELY
LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THE STORM IS ORIGINATING FROM WITHIN MORE
STABLE BOUNDARY-LAYER AIRMASS /UPPER 60S TEMPERATURES/ ACROSS
CENTRAL PA.

BASED ON PRESENT INDICATIONS...WW MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO THE TOP
OF THE HOUR.

..GOSS.. 08/20/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

43697805 43477740 41787869 41197933 41638008 42287905
43407833 

WWWW