[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 192241
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192241 
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-200045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2036
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0541 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN KS / NWRN MO / FAR SERN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 736...

VALID 192241Z - 200045Z

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF WW...WITH A NARROW AXIS OF
ENHANCED TORNADO THREAT EVIDENT ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL KS.

LATEST SURFACE DATA INDICATES NELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW N OF SURFACE
BOUNDARY EXTENDING W-E ACROSS CENTRAL KS...CONTRIBUTING TO LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF LOW-LEVEL STORM ROTATION.  SUPERCELL NOW MOVING
ACROSS SERN ELLSWORTH/NERN RICE COUNTIES TOWARD SALINE/MCPHERSON
COUNTIES APPEARS TO BE RIDING ALONG SURFACE BOUNDARY...WITHIN ZONE
OF FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/VORTICITY.  AS THIS STORM CONTINUES
EWD...THREAT FOR TORNADOES APPEARS TO EXIST.  MEANWHILE...SECOND
SUPERCELL OVER GEARY/MORRIS COUNTIES ALSO APPEARS TO BE RIDING EWD
ALONG BOUNDARY...AND MAY LIKEWISE POSE A TORNADO THREAT OVER THE
NEXT HOUR OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND MODERATELY-UNSTABLE
AIRMASS IN PLACE WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS AND
ASSOCIATED THREAT FOR HAIL/LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.  THOUGH GREATEST
STORM COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS WW...A MORE LIMITED THREAT ALSO
EXISTS EWD INTO MO  -- AND WWD INTO WRN KS WHERE AN ISOLATED
SUPERCELL CONTINUES OVER GREELEY COUNTY.

..GOSS.. 08/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

39249869 39689763 40129443 38619441 37180027 37990026 

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