[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 190608
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190608 
MIZ000-190745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2026
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0108 AM CDT FRI AUG 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER MI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 734...

VALID 190608Z - 190745Z

SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WARM FRONT SITUATED ACROSS CNTRL LWR MI. 
TSTMS HAVE BEEN CONFINED TO AREAS N OF THE WARM FRONT FOR THE PAST
COUPLE OF HOURS...BUT ARE CLEARLY ROTATING PER GAYLORD RADAR.  THESE
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD INTO NERN LOWER MI/THUMB AREA OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  BOUNDARY LAYER IS RATHER COOL AND POTENTIALLY
STABLE OVER THESE AREAS...SUGGESTING A LESSER THREAT FOR TORNADOES
THAN FARTHER S/W.  NONETHELESS...VWP SHOW CONSIDERABLE LOW-LEVEL
TURNING VCNTY THE WARM FRONT AND IF A TSTMS CAN ROOT TO NEAR THE
SURFACE...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BE NON-ZERO. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR PROGRESS OF TSTMS INTO NERN LWR MI/THUMB AREA FOR A
POTENTIAL SMALL TORNADO WATCH. OTHERWISE...TORNADO WATCH 734
CONTINUES.

..RACY.. 08/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...

42168595 44798656 44808236 43408225 43208417 42128410 

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