[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 172016
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172016 
NEZ000-SDZ000-172145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2007
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0316 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SD...NE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 172016Z - 172145Z

PARTS OF SRN SD AND NRN/CNTRL NEB ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
WATCH. SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS THESE AREAS
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

STRONG DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES WITHIN WARM SECTOR OF DEEPENING SFC
LOW CENTERED OVER WRN SD LATE THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION TO
WEAKENING INHIBITION AND FAVORABLE LARGE SCALE SUPPORT PROVIDED BY
APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH...LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG
SHARPENING DRYLINE MAY AID STORM IMITATION OVER THE NEXT 1-3 HOURS.
ONCE STORMS DEVELOP...MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY AND DEGREE OF
DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED SHEAR WILL LEAD TO SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS CONVECTION AS IT INCREASES
INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

..CARBIN.. 08/17/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...

44330153 41030158 42109731 45419733 

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