[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 122057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122057 
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-122300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1971
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0357 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WCNTRL/NRN OK AND SRN/ERN KS INTO SW/CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 122057Z - 122300Z

POSSIBILITY WILL EXIST THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON FOR PULSE-TYPE/ISOLD
DAMAGING MICROBURSTS /AND PERHAPS A LARGE HAILSTONE OR TWO/ ACROSS
NRN/WCNTRL OK AND SRN/ERN KS INTO SW/CNTRL MO. A SEVERE WATCH IS
UNLIKELY.

WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING ENE-WSW ACROSS SRN KS/CNTRL
MO...SCATTERED TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONTAL
ZONE...AND WITHIN WEAKLY CAPPED WARM SECTOR ACROSS NRN/WCNTRL OK.
AMBIENT AIRMASS IS RATHER MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE ALONG/SOUTH OF
THE FRONT...WITH 17Z LAMONT OK RAOB/REGIONAL RUC SOUNDINGS
PORTRAYING 2500-3000 J/KG MUCAPE. IN SPITE OF AMPLE
INSTABILITY...LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERIC WINDS OF 15-20 KTS OR LESS
BELOW 6 KM WILL LEAD TO RATHER LIMITED STORM ORGANIZATION/PULSE-TYPE
SEVERE MODE. ISOLD DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THE MOST ROBUST UPDRAFTS.

..GUYER.. 08/12/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

37689901 38559736 39419392 39509188 38839106 37799129
36919355 35719667 35419745 35649863 36549939 

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