[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 022254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022253 
MTZ000-030030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1920
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0553 PM CDT TUE AUG 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...S CENTRAL AND SE MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 022253Z - 030030Z

ISOLATED STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS
CENTRAL/SE MT. SEVERE STORM COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN RATHER ISOLATED
AND A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...THOUGH THIS AREA WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY.

A LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING
ACROSS S CENTRAL MT TO THE W OF BILLINGS.  WEAK ELY/NELY LOW-LEVEL
FLOW IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM FROM THE CONVECTION WITH MODEST
STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW WILL ENHANCE STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE
EXPANDING COLD POOL.  THOUGH INSTABILITY IS RELATIVELY WEAK /MUCAPE
VALUES AOB 500 J/KG/...STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT
STRONG DOWNDRAFTS/OUTFLOW WINDS.

..THOMPSON.. 08/02/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...

45290512 45070706 45100828 45530873 46110914 46480921
46700801 46650574 46300512 45720486 

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