[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 022355
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022355 
NDZ000-030130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1921
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CDT TUE AUG 02 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...N CENTRAL ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 022355Z - 030130Z

ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SWD
DEVELOPING STORMS ACROSS N CENTRAL ND. A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY IN
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

AN ISOLATED CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS HAS DEVELOPED JUST N OF
A SURFACE TRIPLE POINT ACROSS BOTTINEAU/MCHENRY COUNTIES.  SWD
DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION APPEARS POSSIBLE WITH THE TRIPLE POINT
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS CONVECTIVE INHIBITION HAS BEEN ACROSS
WEAKENED THIS AREA BY DAYTIME HEATING AND MESOSCALE ASCENT ALONG THE
BOUNDARIES.  STRONG INSTABILITY /MLCAPE VALUES IN EXCESS OF 3000
J/KG/ IS PRESENT NEAR AND E OF THE ONGOING STORMS...WHILE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS.  PRESENT
INDICATIONS ARE THAT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BECOME
NECESSARY BY ROUGHLY 01Z ACROSS CENTRAL/N CENTRAL ND.

..THOMPSON.. 08/02/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

46969972 47220014 48260060 48750078 49010063 49019869
47979848 47479875 47099913 

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