[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 020303
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020302 
SDZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-020430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1915
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1002 PM CDT MON AUG 01 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN SD...WRN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 020302Z - 020430Z

ISOLATED STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO HAVE A SEVERE THREAT ACROSS WRN SD
AND WRN NEB FOR THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. A WATCH SHOULD NOT BE NECESSARY
DUE TO SHORT DURATION OF SEVERE EXPECTED.

A FEW STORMS ARE CURRENTLY ONGOING ALONG A SFC TROUGH EXTENDING SWD
ACROSS WRN SD AND WRN NEB. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE TROUGH
AND MODERATE INSTABILITY IS SUSTAINING THE CONVECTION THIS EVENING.
ALTHOUGH FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS WRN NEB SHOW ABOUT 25 KT OF
SHEAR...THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH THE DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR SHOULD STILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. STEEP
LAPSE RATES WOULD FAVOR HAIL AS THE MAIN THREAT ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED
WIND GUST WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE THREAT SHOULD LAST FOR 1-2
HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING AROUND MIDNIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 08/02/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...LBF...UNR...BOU...CYS...

40960202 41350261 42590247 44590258 44740090 42120086
41180114 

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