[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 260625
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260624 
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-260830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0690
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0124 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NE TX...NRN LA AND SRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 260624Z - 260830Z

A LINE OF STORMS ACROSS SW AR AND FAR NE TX WILL MOVE ESEWD WITH AN
ISOLATED HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE THREAT LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A WW
DOWNSTREAM OF THE CURRENT WATCH.

INTENSE CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG THE NORTH END OF AXIS
OF INSTABILITY LOCATED ACROSS EAST TX AS SHOW ON OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS.
IN ADDITION...A 40 TO 50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS LOCATED FROM SERN AR
SWWD INTO NE TX AS SHOW ON VAD WIND PROFILERS. AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET
INCREASES...THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL MAY CONTINUE ESPECIALLY
FARTHER WEST OVER NE TX WHERE GREATER INSTABILITY IS LOCATED. THE
MOST LIKELY THREAT WILL BE HAIL DUE TO THE COLD AIR ALOFT AND STRONG
SHEAR PRESENT. ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY
WITH SHORT-LINES AND BOWING SEGMENTS ACROSS SRN AR AND FAR NRN LA.
THE SEVERE THREAT MAY SPREAD GRADUALLY EWD OVERNIGHT AS THE
INSTABILITY AXIS AND LLJ SPREAD TOWARDS THE MS RIVER VALLEY.

..BROYLES.. 04/26/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...

33339095 32899138 32319324 32369436 32669488 33059479
33869320 34039189 33759113 

WWWW