[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 211613
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211613 
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-211815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0624
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1113 AM CDT THU APR 21 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NEB...NERN KS...NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 211613Z - 211815Z

...TORNADO WATCH WILL BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MO
VALLEY...

ASCENT REGION OF UPPER SPEED MAX IS TRANSLATING EWD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS LATE THIS MORNING...PER ONGOING BAND OF GRADUALLY
EXPANDING ELEVATED CONVECTION FROM KEARNEY COUNTY TO CHERRY COUNTY
IN NEB.  STRONG DIURNAL HEATING ACROSS NRN KS WILL AID NWD MOVEMENT
OF WARM FRONT INTO EXTREME SERN NEB OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WHERE
WEAK INHIBITION IS ALREADY NOTED BY LATEST DIAGNOSTIC DATA.  IT
APPEARS NEAR SFC BASED STORMS WILL EVOLVE ALONG THE KS/NEB BORDER
WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THEN MOVE EWD ALONG SLOWLY RETREATING
WARM FRONT.  SWD DEVELOPMENT INTO THE WARM SECTOR IS EXPECTED ACROSS
NERN KS BY 21Z BEFORE SPREADING INTO NWRN MO.  VERTICAL SHEAR
PROFILES WILL IMPROVE ACROSS THIS REGION FAVORING SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.

..DARROW.. 04/21/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...

39989827 40969809 41199636 39249457 39139627 

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