[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 202208
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 202207 
ILZ000-MOZ000-210000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0611
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0507 PM CDT WED APR 20 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE MO/SRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 202207Z - 210000Z

ESTABLISHED MCS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SPREADING SEWD ACROSS SE MO AND
FAR SRN IL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH THREAT OF LARGE
HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS PERSISTING IN THE SHORT TERM. WW NOT EXPECTED
GIVEN LIMITED TEMPORAL/MARGINAL NATURE.

MCS WITH ORGANIZED COLD POOL CURRENTLY ALONG/JUST SE OF I-44 IN SE
MO...WITH APEX MOVING SEWD AROUND 30-35 KTS. COLD POOL AMIDST SWLY
LOW LEVEL FEED /PER CONWAY AND BLOOMFIELD MO PROFILERS/ AND
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS OF 1000-1500 J/KG DOWNSTREAM OF MCS WILL
SUPPORT CONTINUED SE PROPAGATION AND SHORT TERM SEVERE THREAT.
HOWEVER MCS EXPECTED TO ULTIMATELY WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE MO
BOOTHEEL/EXTREME SRN IL OWING TO LOSS OF DIABATIC HEATING AND SFC
RIDGING.

..GUYER.. 04/20/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...

39029016 38388867 37078950 36969104 37169254 37899265
38099107 38469049 

WWWW