[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 192055
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192055 
TXZ000-192230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0595
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN INTO PORTIONS OF W-CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 192055Z - 192230Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS IS FORECAST TO INCREASE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. THOUGH A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED
ATTM...CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CUMULUS FIELD BECOMING INCREASINGLY
WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE TRANS-PECOS REGION THIS AFTERNOON...POSSIBLY
IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LOCALIZED ZONE OF FORCING FOR ASCENT ALONG
CYCLONIC SIDE OF SUBTROPICAL JET AXIS. THIS ACTIVITY HAS ORIGINATED
IN DEEPLY-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER OVER SWRN TX...WITH LEADING EDGE
APPROACHING DRYLINE AND RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TO THE E. SHOULD
THIS CONVECTION BECOME ROOTED WITHIN MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS E
OF DRYLINE...PROXIMITY TO STRONGER MID/HIGH-LEVEL FLOW SUGGESTS THE
POTENTIAL FOR A SUPERCELL OR TWO WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

..MEAD.. 04/19/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

29790258 30780292 31470236 31810166 31950085 31469992
30619982 29650014 29250080 

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