[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 161413
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161409 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-161515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2222
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0909 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN THROUGH SRN AL....NRN THROUGH SRN GA AND THE FL
PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 826...827...

VALID 161409Z - 161515Z

TORNADO WATCHES 826 AND 827 WILL BE REPLACED BY ANOTHER TORNADO
WATCH BY 1430Z THAT WILL COVER PARTS OF NRN THROUGH SRN AL...NRN
THROUGH SRN GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE. 

RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WELL INTO THE
AFTERNOON WITH THE THREAT SPREADING NWD WITH TIME AS THE CENTER OF
IVAN MOVES NWD TOWARD CNTRL AL. LATEST RADAR DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW
SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN RAINBANDS E OF THE CENTER FROM E CNTRL
THROUGH SE AL AND INTO SWRN GA. SHEAR PROFILES IN THE ERN QUADRANT
OF THE STORM...WITH STORM RELATIVE HELICITY 400-600 M2/S2...WILL
REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

..DIAL.. 09/16/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB...

30428640 31478647 32088720 34048645 34578525 34308404
33118300 31088244 29408287 30058383 29988462 29778516
30288580 

WWWW