[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 150021
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150017 
MNZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-150215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2209
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0717 PM CDT TUE SEP 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...E CENTRAL NEB...W CENTRAL AND CENTRAL IA...

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 819...

VALID 150017Z - 150215Z

EXPECT WATCH TO CONTINUE FOR NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  AN ADDITIONAL
WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY. SEE MD #2208 FOR DETAILS.

CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NOW EVIDENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE
NWRN IA.  LOW LEVEL JET NEAR 40 KT EXTENDS FROM N CENTRAL KS INTO W
CENTRAL IA ENHANCING LIFT NEAR A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT UNDERNEATH
FAVORABLE ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER LEVEL JET OVER MN.  AIR MASS
REMAINS VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH SFC DEW POINTS IN
THE LOW 70S AND MLCAPES AROUND 1500 J/KG.  IN ADDITION...DEEP LAYER
SHEAR RANGES BETWEEN 30-50 KT ACROSS THE AREA SUSTAINING STORM
ACTIVITY FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..MCCARTHY.. 09/15/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...GID...

41079736 41459739 42179734 42699599 43279444 43909291
41589339 40339652 40029736 

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