[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061631
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061628 
SCZ000-FLZ000-GAZ000-061800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2176
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CDT MON SEP 06 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN SD / SRN HALF OF GA / CENTRAL AND NRN FL / ERN
HALF OF THE FL PANHANDLE...

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 803...804...

VALID 061628Z - 061800Z

NEW TORNADO WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED TO REPLACE WW 803 AND 804 WHICH
EXPIRE AT 06/18Z.

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY PLACES THE CENTER OF FRANCES APPROXIMATELY 45
NM SSW TLH ATTM...JUST OFF THE FL PANHANDLE COAST.  FAVORABLE
BANDING CONTINUES FROM CENTRAL FL NWD INTO ERN GA / SERN SC...WHERE
VISIBLE SATELLITE INDICATES THAT SOME THINNING OR EVEN BREAKS IN THE
OVERCAST MAY SUPPORT LIMITED DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION.

GIVEN STRENGTH OF LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD /CHARLESTON SC AND
JACKSONVILLE FL VWPS INDICATING 35 TO 40 KT 0-1 KM SHEAR AND 350 TO
400 M2/S2 0-1 KM HELICITY/ AND VERY MOIST / TROPICAL  AIRMASS...ANY
HEATING / DESTABILIZATION WILL ONLY FURTHER ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.  THEREFORE...NEW TORNADO WATCHES WILL BE
ISSUED COVERING THE ERN HALF OF FRANCES' CIRCULATION.

..GOSS.. 09/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...

33298214 33097961 31728116 30198143 28458058 27808046
26978150 26778225 27818278 28788268 29848362 30068409
29878468 30678466 32588384 33058323 

WWWW