[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 041007
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041004 
MNZ000-NDZ000-041130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2158
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0504 AM CDT SAT SEP 04 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN ND/NWRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 041004Z - 041130Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED...MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH
STRONGEST STORMS. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

AS OF 0950Z...FARGO/GRAND FORKS RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A CLUSTER OF
ELEVATED TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF NERN ND...THE MOST INTENSE OF WHICH 
WERE LOCATED OVER RAMSEY AND NELSON COUNTIES. PROXIMITY FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR PARCELS
LIFTED FROM AROUND 3KM WITH MUCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. GIVEN THE
MODEST SHEAR THROUGH THE LOWEST 6KM OF THE BUOYANCY LAYER /I.E.
35-40KTS/...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR AN ORGANIZED STORM OR TWO WHICH
WILL BE CAPABLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..MEAD.. 09/04/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...

47969863 48689819 49019719 48989593 48409496 47449664
47059743 47409842 

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