[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 300202
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300202 
WIZ000-MIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-MOZ000-300330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2377
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0902 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN WI / ERN IA / NWRN IL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 873...

VALID 300202Z - 300330Z

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS MOST OF WW AREA.

LINE OF STRONG / LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS WITH EMBEDDED BOWS / LEWPS
CONTINUES AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...EXTENDING N-S ACROSS WRN PORTIONS OF
WW FROM NWRN WI SWD TO NERN MO ATTM.  VERY STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND
FIELD EXISTS ACROSS THIS REGION...WITH 50 TO 80 KT FLOW INDICATED
BETWEEN 1 KM AND 6 KM ACCORDING TO AREA VWP / PROFILER OBSERVATIONS.
 THIS COMBINED WITH 500 TO 1000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE...LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ALONG SURFACE COLD FRONT...AND UPPER LOW SHIFTING EWD
ACROSS ERN SD TOWARD THE UPPER MS VALLEY SUGGEST THAT SEVERE THREAT
-- NOW MAINLY IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS -- SHOULD CONTINUE FOR
AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  THREAT MAY BEGIN TO DECREASE
LATER THIS EVENING AS BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS / STABILIZES.

..GOSS.. 10/30/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...

46449206 46408903 40338952 40309232 41679230 44599110 

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