[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 191906
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191906 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-192030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2340
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 PM CDT TUE OCT 19 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL/SWRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 191906Z - 192030Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH
STRONGEST STORMS. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

AIR MASS S OF PERSISTENT CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER NRN GA HAS WARMED
INTO THE LOWER 80S THIS AFTERNOON. WHEN COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S...ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES OF AROUND 1000 J/KG. RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES
TSTMS GRADUALLY MOVING/DEVELOPING EWD OUT OF ERN AL INTO DISCUSSION
AREA...PRIMARILY ALONG SEVERAL PRE-EXISTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND PROFILER DATA SUGGEST THAT BOTH STRONGER
FORCING AND MID/UPPER-LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL REMAIN UPSTREAM ACROSS
MS/AL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
THOUGH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH
MOST INTENSE STORMS...IT APPEARS THAT MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL REMAIN TO THE W OF THE AREA.

..MEAD.. 10/19/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...

32558500 32738460 32598355 30668351 30708500 

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