[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 060332
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060332 
TXZ000-NMZ000-060530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2302
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1032 PM CDT TUE OCT 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NM AND WEST TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 852...

VALID 060332Z - 060530Z

A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TX WITHIN
THE HOUR.

MATURE LINEAR MCS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EAST INTO MOIST LOW
LEVEL INFLOW FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS. GIVEN STRONG FORCING FROM MID
LEVEL IMPULSE...40KT WIND MAX MOVING ACROSS LOW LEVEL SELY
FLOW...AND MESOSCALE FORCING ALONG THE ADVANCING LINE...A MARGINAL
WIND AND LARGE HAIL THREAT SHOULD PERSIST EWD/SEWD INTO WEST TX
OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONALLY...STRONG CELLS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS
HUDSPETH COUNTY TX AND IT APPEARS THAT UNTAPPED UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN
THIS AREA WAS NOW COMING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SHORT WAVE
TROUGH AND GREATER DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THUS...AN NEW WATCH IS PROBABLY
NEEDED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS TO COVER THIS CONTINUING ACTIVITY.

..CARBIN.. 10/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

30650229 30510566 32070617 32110483 33630375 33580276 

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