[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 250058
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250058 
OHZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-250130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2472
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0658 PM CST WED NOV 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN OH AND NRN KY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 906...

VALID 250058Z - 250130Z

LOW PROBABILITIES OF A DAMAGING WIND GUST/ISOLD TORNADO EXIST ACROSS
SCNTRL OH THROUGH 02-03Z.

EARLIER TORNADIC SUPERCELLS THAT TRACKED FROM SERN IND TO THE OH
BORDER WERE QUICKLY UNDERCUT BY OUTFLOW/COLD FRONT THAT SURGED SWD. 
THESE STORMS HAVE WEAKENED.  MEANWHILE...PRE-FRONTAL TSTMS CONTINUE
TO PULSE AS THEY APPROACH THE SCIOTO RIVER VLY OF SCNTRL OH.  AIR
MASS CONTINUES TO BECOME INCREASINGLY STABLE AND THE 00Z WILMINGTON
SOUNDING ALREADY SHOWED A SMALL NEAR-SURFACE STABLE LAYER.  STRONG
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL COMPENSATE SOMEWHAT...BUT CONTINUED COOLING
WILL LIKELY BECOME HOSTILE FOR DOWNDRAFTS TO REACH THE SURFACE OR
TORNADOES.  THROUGH 02-03Z...THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO EXIST IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY A LANCASTER-ATHENS-
PORTSMOUTH-LANCASTER LINE.

..RACY.. 11/25/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

38158436 40238210 38868195 38298372 

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