[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 110207
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110206 
OKZ000-110330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2402
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0806 PM CST WED NOV 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 877...

VALID 110206Z - 110330Z

THREAT FOR MAINLY MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 1-2
HOURS. OVERALL TREND SHOULD BE FOR STORMS TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN
INTENSITY. WW WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED BEFORE THE EXPIRATION TIME OF
04Z.

A LINE OF SCATTERED STORMS CONTINUES DEVELOPING ACROSS E CNTRL OK
WITHIN ZONE OF ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH. OTHER
STORMS ARE DEVELOPING WITHIN ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION ACROSS EXTREME
ERN OK INTO WRN AR. VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY
LAYER CONTINUES TO STABILIZE WITH LOSS OF SURFACE HEATING...AND THE
STORMS ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY ELEVATED WITH A RESULTING DECREASE
IN CAPE AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR.

..DIAL.. 11/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

34169643 35349609 36469593 36289528 35089511 34279541 

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