[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 282020
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282019 
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-282215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0967
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0319 PM CDT FRI MAY 28 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN SD...NERN NEB...WRN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 282019Z - 282215Z

SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY AROUND 22Z.  A WW MIGHT BE
REQUIRED.

LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS TCU DEVELOPING WHERE DEWPOINTS HAVE
MIXED OUT INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S S OF WARM FRONT. 
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE DEVELOPING BY LATE
AFTERNOON.  INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET IN RESPONSE TO UPSTREAM TROUGH
BENEATH MDT FLOW ALOFT WILL PROVIDE AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS INITIALLY...BEFORE CELLS MERGE INTO CLUSTERS OR A SMALL
MCS WHICH WILL MOVE SEWD DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

..JEWELL.. 05/28/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...LBF...UNR...

42159849 42619917 43669984 44329980 44309781 43499646
42679638 41939668