[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 280418
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280417 
WVZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-TNZ000-280515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0962
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL/ERN KY AND SRN WV

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 315...318...

VALID 280417Z - 280515Z

SEVERE WEATHER COVERAGE HAS DIMINISHED...BUT THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND BRIEF TORNADOES CONTINUES.

TWO WELL-DEFINED BOW ECHOES CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS KY. 
ONE WAS APPROACHING THE WV/KY BORDER NORTHEAST OF JACKSON IN THE
COALFIELDS...THE OTHER UPSTREAM APPROACHING THE LOUISVILLE AREA. 
OTHER TSTMS TRAIL BACK INTO FAR WEST KY TO NEAR PADUCAH.  STORMS ARE
EMBEDDED WITHIN A DEEP WLY FLOW REGIME THAT WILL CONTINUE TO
ENCOURAGE BOW ECHO DEVELOPMENT AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES BECOME ORIENTED
PERPENDICULAR TO THE MEAN FLOW.  THE MAJORITY OF THE BOW NEAR
LOUISVILLE MAY MOVE OVER AREAS WHERE RECENT CONVECTION MOVED
THROUGH...AND STRONGER WINDS MAY NOT REACH THE SURFACE AS IT TRACKS 
TO AREAS NEAR/SOUTH OF LEXINGTON BETWEEN 05-06 UTC.  HOWEVER...AIR
MASS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF ECNTRL/ERN KY REMAINS PRIMED FOR TSTMS.


ISOLD TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT AS WELL GIVEN THE
STRONG SPEED SHEAR IN THE LOWEST LAYERS.  BUT THE PRIMARY THREAT
WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

TORNADO WATCH 315 IS SET TO EXPIRE AT 0500 UTC.  FAR SWRN PART OF
THIS WATCH MAY BE IN LINE FOR DAMAGING WINDS FOR AN HOUR OR SO AFTER
EXPIRATION.  BUT...A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED SINCE THE MAJORITY OF
THE SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD MOVE INTO TORNADO WATCH 318.

..RACY.. 05/28/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...

38368546 38458257 38318115 38398035 37168044 36488513
37778518 37878543 

WWWW