[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 280240
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280239 
WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-280415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0960
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0939 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KY INTO CNTRL WV

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 315...

VALID 280239Z - 280415Z

A DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLD TORNADO THREATS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
ABOUT 0400 UTC.  

A COUPLE OF WELL-DEVELOPED BOW ECHOES ARE TRAVERSING THE VALID
PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH 315. ONE WAS MOVING ACROSS THE CNTRL
MOUNTAINS OF WV IN RANDOLPH AND POCAHONTAS COUNTIES AND THE OTHER
WAS JUST EAST OF LEXINGTON KY. AIR MASS ACROSS NERN KY AND PARTS OF
CNTRL WV HAVE BEEN UNTOUCHED BY CONVECTION THIS EVENING AND LIKELY
IS FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL TSTMS TO DEVELOP THROUGH LATE EVENING. 
CHARLESTON WV VAD WIND PROFILE SUGGEST NEAR 26 KTS OF 0-1KM SHEAR
AND ANY TSTM THAT CAN DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE BOWS MAY BE CAPABLE OF A
TORNADO OR TWO.  OTHERWISE...LINEARITY OF THE ONGOING TSTMS SUGGESTS
WIND DAMAGE WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.  

MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE INTO ADJACENT TORNADO WATCH 318 BY
0400 UTC.  AT THAT TIME...AN EARLY CANCELLATION OF TORNADO WATCH 315
COULD OCCUR.

..RACY.. 05/28/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

37878533 38408534 38618385 38937972 38437976 

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