[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 272013
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272012 
OHZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-272215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0944
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0312 PM CDT THU MAY 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL IL...CNTRL IN...W CNTRL OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 309...

VALID 272012Z - 272215Z

CONTINUE WW.

100 MB MEAN MIXED LAYER CAPE IS NOW IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG...AND UP
TO 3000 J/KG...ALONG LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENT AXIS ACROSS CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND CENTRAL INDIANA.  THIS AREA IS BENEATH ZONE BETWEEN
NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN BRANCHES OF STRONGER WESTERLIES...WHICH WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT NEXT FEW HOURS AS UPSTREAM NORTHERN
BRANCH TROUGH CONTINUES EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. 
MID-LEVEL MOISTENING/ASCENT ALREADY IS EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WHERE NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
APPEARS LIKELY SHORTLY.

OTHERWISE...DOWNSTREAM ACTIVITY ROUGHLY ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70
CORRIDOR ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO SHOULD
CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY.  LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN LIKELY IN
STRONGER CELLS...AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY INCREASE TOWARD
28/00Z...AS CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS GROW/BECOME INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED
IN STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

..KERR.. 05/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...

40339030 40548873 40758716 40258545 39508457 38848621
39098757 39438976 

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