[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 262210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262210 
INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-262315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0919
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0510 PM CDT WED MAY 26 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN/ECNTRL MO INTO CNTRL IL INCLUDING THE STL
METRO AREA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 262210Z - 262315Z

TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE FROM NERN MO EWD THROUGH CNTRL IL
INCLUDING THE STL METRO AREA AND A WW MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT
HOUR.

WATER VAPOR LOOPS DEPICT A MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX MIGRATING EWD ACROSS
KS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND MAY BE GENERATING SUFFICIENT LARGE SCALE
SUPPORT FOR TSTMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE MID MS VLY RECENTLY. 
MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A COMPOSITE FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SITUATED NW-SE
FROM CNTRL MO TO EXTREME SWRN KY.  AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MIGRATES
EWD THIS EVENING...SWLY LLJ WILL RESPOND AND ADVECT UNSTABLE AIR
MASS ATOP THE MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE AREA.  THIS WILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR AN INCREASE IN ELEVATED TSTMS...SOME OF WHICH MAY
ROTATE GIVEN AMPLE CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR.  LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT AND A WW MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT HOUR.

..RACY.. 05/26/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...EAX...

39919226 40238946 40048754 38588766 38579262 

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