[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 252202
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252201 
TXZ000-OKZ000-260000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0900
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0501 PM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST TX AND SCENTRAL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 252201Z - 260000Z

THE CAP HAS WEAKENED SUFFICIENTLY FOR SURFACE BASED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT VICINITY FISHER/STONEWALL COUNTIES TX.  AIR MASS IS VERY
UNSTABLE ALONG AND S OF FRONTAL ZONE WHICH EXTENDS FROM VICINITY OKC
SWWD TO FISHER COUNTY STORM THEN WWD.  CAP WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
NEXT COUPLE HOURS VICINITY FRONT NEWD INTO SRN OK AND EXPECTED TO
ALLOW ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP.  WITH MLCAPES TO 3000
J/KG AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 30KT AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY WITH LARGE HAIL THE PREDOMINANT THREAT. 
AREA MAY REQUIRE A WW WITHIN THE HOUR IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE.

..HALES.. 05/25/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

32750049 33340012 33809963 34279883 34939785 35039751
34829665 34329668 32789756 31959834 31529928 31820022 

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