[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 250500
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250500 
MOZ000-KSZ000-250630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0888
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 AM CDT TUE MAY 25 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AND ERN KS...WRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 282...

VALID 250500Z - 250630Z

MOST CONVECTION HAS ALL BUT DIED ACROSS TSTM WATCH 282 AT THIS TIME
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TRAILING PORTION OF MO SQUALL LINE...WHERE IT
INTERSECTS THE COLD FRONT NEAR MIAMI COUNTY KS. WE ARE SOMEWHAT
RELUCTANT TO CLEAR OUT THE SRN AND ERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AT THIS
TIME AS MODEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE PERSISTS WITHIN AN
AXIS OF STRONG SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. ADDITIONALLY...LATEST ETA
SUGGESTS NEW DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT AS IT STALLS ACROSS KS/OK
BORDER IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IF THIS DOES OCCUR...MAGNITUDE OF
INSTABILITY AND STRENGTH OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT SEVERE
TSTMS.

..CARBIN.. 05/25/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...DDC...

37079981 38039980 38349676 39149408 39119355 37159355 

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