[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 242032
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242032 
OKZ000-TXZ000-242230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0871
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0332 PM CDT MON MAY 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TX...WRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 242032Z - 242230Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS. SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD THEN
OCCUR AND A WW APPEARS LIKELY.

LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS TCU FROM SW OF CDS TO CSM.  CAP HAS
ERODED AND A CONTINUED SLY FLOW OF MOISTURE WITH RETREATING DRYLINE
AND HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR STORM FORMATION.  SHEAR PROFILES ARE VERY
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS PER AREA PROFILERS.  MAIN THREATS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HIGH BASES OF STORMS INDICATE LOW
TORNADO THREAT...UNLESS STORMS MAKE IT FURTHER E INTO HIGHER
DEWPOINTS.

..JEWELL.. 05/24/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

33730109 34250118 34750051 36379968 36539926 36669864
36509798 35549796 34589859 33799963 

WWWW