[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 210226
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 210225 
TXZ000-NMZ000-210330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0784
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0925 PM CDT THU MAY 20 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NM/W TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223...

VALID 210225Z - 210330Z

LATEST RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST STORMS ARE WEAKENING ACROSS ERN NM/W TX.
 STORMS ARE CURRENTLY SUSTAINING THEMSELVES IN AXIS OF BEST
INSTABILITY/MOISTURE...BUT AS THEY MOVE EWD THEY WILL ENCOUNTER A
DRIER AND LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. LATEST ETA/RUC MODEL DATA
INDICATE THAT 45-50 KT LOW LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP EAST OF CURRENT
STORMS...THUS PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR ORGANIZED STORMS FARTHER NORTH
ACROSS KS/NE LATER TONIGHT. STORMS ACROSS THIS WW ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE...AND THE WW WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 03Z.

..TAYLOR.. 05/21/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

30860356 30970424 33370468 34480479 34500272 32470243
30950215 30930286 

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