[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 172146
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172146 
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-172315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0726
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0446 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN LOWER MI...NORTHWEST OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 210...

VALID 172146Z - 172315Z

CLUSTERS OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS HAVE MOVED EASTWARD INTO THE THUMB
OF LOWER MI...AND INTO SOUTHWEST ONTARIO.  VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS NUMEROUS CLOUD STREETS ACROSS NORTHERN IND AND WESTERN LOWER
MI.  HOWEVER...STABILIZING EFFECTS OF EARLIER CONVECTION...LACK OF
UPPER FORCING...AND APPARENT LOW LEVEL DRYING MOVING INTO NORTHERN
IND WILL LIKELY LIMIT RE-DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE
WATCH AREA.  IF PRESENT TRENDS CONTINUE...WW 210 MAY BE CANCELLED
BEFORE EXPIRATION AT 00 UTC.

..HART.. 05/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...

41358475 42058491 43108471 44068466 44498384 44218301
43358242 42718253 41838339 41378372 

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