[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 172123
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172122 
KSZ000-COZ000-172315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0724
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0422 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 172122Z - 172315Z

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER EASTERN COLORADO IN THE NEXT
1-2 HOURS.  WW MAY BE REQUIRED.

RADAR DATA SHOWS AN ISOLATED CELL HAS RECENTLY INTENSIFIED ALONG THE
ELBERT/EL PASO COUNTY LINE IN EASTERN CO.  THIS STORM APPEARS TO
HAVE FORMED DUE TO NORTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW ON THE NORTH
SIDE OF THE PALMER RIDGE.  THIS STORM MAY PERSIST FOR AWHILE...BUT
WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASINGLY DRIER/STABLE LOW LEVEL AIRMASS FARTHER
EAST.  OTHER STORMS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS OVER THE FOOTHILLS FROM WEST OF DEN TO COS...IN AXIS
OF HIGHER LOW LEVEL THETA-E.  VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE FAVORABLE
FOR SUPERCELLS WITH THE RISK OF LARGE HAIL.  AREA WITH GREATEST RISK
OF STORMS MOVING INTO THE PLAINS WILL BE ALONG/SOUTH OF COLD FRONT
FROM COS - LHX - LAA.

..HART.. 05/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

39610475 39240367 38860276 38580211 38000200 37300218
37680449 38250522 39320553 40250568 40290512 

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