[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 172053
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172052 
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-172245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0723
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN IA AND NRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 172052Z - 172245Z

TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS CNTRL/SRN IA...AND EVENTUALLY
INTO NRN MO...LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. PRIMARY HAZARD WILL
LIKELY BE DAMAGING WINDS...WITH LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE AS WELL.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS FEATURES SFC COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM CBF TO N
OF DSM TO NEAR ALO AT 20Z. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED THROUGH THE
70S/LOWER 80S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S ALONG/AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...RESULTING IN MLCAPE VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 1000-1500 J/KG
PER LATEST RUC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. LITTLE SURFACE BASED CINH /BASED
ON MODIFIED 18Z DVN SOUN

..GUYER.. 05/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...

39099458 39469489 39829511 40379555 41389573 42069381
42519204 41469143 40209162 39479299 

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