[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 172005
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172005 
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-172130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0721
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0305 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER MI...NORTHERN IND...NORTHWESTERN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 210...

VALID 172005Z - 172130Z

SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOWER MI
NEAR DETROIT...AND ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MI FROM KENT TO BAY
COUNTIES.  SEVERAL OF THESE STORMS HAVE SHOWN MID LEVEL
ROTATION...AND ARE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  SBCAPE
VALUES OF 2500 J/KG AND 30-40 KNOTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
MAINTAIN A RISK OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS OVER SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
MI FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS.  

CURRENT ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD FROM WATCH INTO NORTHEAST
LOWER MI.  ALSO...STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTERN WI NORTH OF GRB
MAY TRACK ACROSS THE LAKE AT 40 KNOTS AND INTO NORTHWEST LOWER MI BY
22Z.  PARTS OF NORTHERN LOWER MI MAY REQUIRE A WW IN THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS.

..HART.. 05/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...

45828452 45008308 43528259 41798339 41358487 41598639
42348610 43908517 44308631 

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