[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 171810
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171809 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-172015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0719
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0109 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN IND...NRN KY...WRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 171809Z - 172015Z

ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF IND/OH/KY 
THIS AFTERNOON.  WEAK SHEAR AND LIMITED AREAL COVERAGE OF INTENSE
STORMS SUGGEST A WW WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ISOLATED TCU/CBS INCREASING ACROSS
PARTS OF IND/KY AND WESTERN OH.  THIS ACTIVITY IS AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE
TROUGH LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS IL...AND WHERE STRONG HEATING
HAS RESULTED IN MODERATE INSTABILITY /SBCAPE VALUES OF 2000-2500
J/KG/. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE RATHER WEAK /0-6 KM SHEAR OF
20-30 KNOTS/ SUGGESTING PRIMARILY MULTICELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF
GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. WIDELY SCATTERED CELLS MAY MAINTAIN
A SEVERE RISK THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

..HART.. 05/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...

39338700 40818567 40958379 39378278 38438339 37788574
37508752 38508748 

WWWW