[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 170158
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170157 
KSZ000-COZ000-170330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0714
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0857 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 207...

VALID 170157Z - 170330Z

ANOTHER WW MAY BE REQUIRED BEFORE SCHEDULED 3Z EXPIRATION.  ZONALLY
ORIENTED LINE OF STRONG-SEVERE TSTMS -- WITH OCCASIONAL/EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS -- WILL DRIFT SSEWD ACROSS PORTIONS
SCOTT/LANE/NESS/HODGEMAN/FINNEY/GRAY COUNTIES. THIS ACTIVITY MAY
PERSIST FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS...MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH GCK-DDC
CORRIDOR WITH POTENTIAL FOR BOTH SEVERE WIND/HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL OF ABOUT 2 INCHES/HOUR.  TORNADO POTENTIAL SHOULD DIMINISH
AS SFC-BASED INSTABILITY DECREASES AND SLIGHTLY ELEVATED LOW LEVEL
INFLOW BECOMES PREDOMINANT.  40-50 KT LLJ EVIDENT OVER REGION IN
VWP/PROFILER DATA AND 00Z DDC RAOB...ORIENTED NEARLY PERPENDICULAR
TO ALIGNMENT OF CONVECTIVE LINE AND YIELDING UP TO 60 KT S-R INFLOW.
 THIS SHOULD MAINTAIN AN MCS OVER AREA WITH MUCAPE ROUGHLY 1500 J/KG
AND LARGE/LOOPING LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS.

..EDWARDS.. 05/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...

37020231 39020203 38930117 39189922 37009961 

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