[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 110107
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110106 
NEZ000-SDZ000-COZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-110300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0641
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0806 PM CDT MON MAY 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SE MT INTO NE CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 178...179...

VALID 110106Z - 110300Z

NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED BY CURRENT 02Z WW EXPIRATION TIME.

WIDELY SCATTERED VIGOROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING...INCLUDING A
COUPLE OF LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS...NEAR/JUST EAST OF THE COLORADO/
WYOMING FRONT RANGE.  AS UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO LIFT INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES...SLOW VEERING OF MID/UPPER FLOW ALONG/EAST OF THE
ROCKIES WILL SUPPORT A SLIGHT EASTWARD SHIFT OF STRONGER ACTIVITY
INTO THE HIGH PLAINS THROUGH 06Z.  AS DEEP SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO
DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEAST MONTANA THIS EVENING...
RAPID DESTABILIZATION WILL SUPPORT NORTHWARD DEVELOPMENT OF
ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE STORMS. 

RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES IN SUPERCELL EAST OF DOUGLAS WY...AND
SUPERCELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF DENVER CO MAY DIMINISH NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.  HOWEVER...STRENGTHENING SHEAR
PROFILES WEST OF INTENSIFYING LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS FROM THE NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHEAST MONTANA WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS...ENHANCING RISK OF LARGE HAIL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

..KERR.. 05/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...BYZ...RIW...

45760744 45790602 45300455 44240358 42760244 41900214
40470193 38250299 38750403 40970479 42270533 43030560
44120652 44930725 45370745 

WWWW