[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 101743
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101743 
MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-102015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0633
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1243 PM CDT MON MAY 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101743Z - 102015Z

STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN MAY INTENSIFY AS THEY
SPREAD EWD INTO NRN VA. ISOLATED HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG TO DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE ACROSS NRN VA THIS AFTERNOON
WITH MODERATELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S
AND SURFACE HEATING CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE AROUND 2000 J/KG. THE
FLOW ALOFT APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR STORMS TO SPREAD EWD OFF OF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN...AND SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD INTENSIFY AS IT
DEVELOPS INTO STRONGER INSTABILITY. MULTICELL CONVECTION CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS.

..DIAL.. 05/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...

39297748 38547705 38027833 38097933 39167833 

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