[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 100429
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100428 
NEZ000-100530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0630
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 PM CDT SUN MAY 09 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...S CNTRL NEB/N CNTRL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 177...

VALID 100428Z - 100530Z

REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED
AT 05Z.

WEAK MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
MID MISSOURI VALLEY OVERNIGHT. AS TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS INTO EASTERN
NEBRASKA...MODELS SUGGEST LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL REMAIN
FOCUSED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA THROUGH 06-09Z...ON NOSE OF
LOW-LEVEL JET...AHEAD OF APPROACHING SHORT WAVE RIDGE AXIS. 
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN STEEP ENOUGH TO SUPPORT VIGOROUS
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS GRAND ISLAND/HASTINGS/KEARNEY AND AREAS TO THE
IMMEDIATE SOUTH BEYOND 05Z.  HOWEVER...SEVERE THREAT NOW APPEARS
LIMITED TO ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.  RISK FOR LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
IS INCREASING IN SLOW MOVING TRAINING STORMS.

..KERR.. 05/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...

40739966 41029915 41229835 41339789 41029746 40559742
40009836 40049907 40549972 

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