[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 082228
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082228 
PAZ000-NYZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-090100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0600
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0528 PM CDT SAT MAY 08 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NE OH...NW PA...SW NY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 082228Z - 090100Z

TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBILITY OF INCREASING SEVERE
THREAT AND WW.

IN WAKE OF SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTING OFF THE NORTH ATLANTIC COAST...
SURFACE WARM FRONT HAS DEVELOPED NORTHWARD INTO THE LAKE ERIE
AREA...NORTH/NORTHEAST OF CLEVELAND INTO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA. WITH
DEW POINTS RISING BACK TO NEAR 60F...AND TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO
THE UPPER 70S...RAPID DESTABILIZATION IS UNDERWAY...AND MEAN MIXED
LAYER CAPE IS INCREASING IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG.  DESTABILIZATION
AND PERSISTENT LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH FOCUSED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AND LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION MAY SUPPORT INCREASING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SHEAR PROFILES ON SOUTHERN
FRINGE OF WESTERLIES ARE STRONG...AND SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS.

..KERR.. 05/08/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

42597960 42507885 41867851 41207869 40657897 39837921
39728012 39958085 40598067 41018098 41838136 

WWWW