[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 272138
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272138 
KSZ000-272345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1434
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0438 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 272138Z - 272345Z

A BAND OF STRONG TSTMS HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN KS
ALONG A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY. AIRMASS SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY
HAS BEEN ABLE TO HEAT UP INTO THE MID/UPPER 80S WITH MLCAPE VALUES
AROUND 1500 J/KG. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MESOSCALE
CONVECTIVE VORTEX NEAR GREAT BEND KS...AND THIS MAY HELP ENHANCE
STORMS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THE STORMS HAVE PRIMARILY BEEN
OUTFLOW DOMINANT...BUT IF THEY ARE ABLE TO FORM INTO A MORE LINEAR
STRUCTURE...GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. HAVILAND AND
HILLSBORO PROFILERS INDICATE AROUND 30-35 KT OF FLOW THROUGH ABOUT 6
KM...WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SPREADING ACROSS THE REGION
FROM THE WRN HIGH PLAINS. COLLIDING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL BE THE
MAIN FOCUS FOR NEW STORMS...WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.

..TAYLOR.. 06/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...DDC...

37139913 37849912 38599704 38399483 37009491 37059736 

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