[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 272208
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272208 
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-280015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1435
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0508 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA/NRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 272208Z - 280015Z

MARGINALLY ORGANIZED LINE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST FROM
SERN AL INTO HOT AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS SITUATED ACROSS SRN GA. A FEW
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE
STORMS THIS EVENING.

LONG-LIVED COMPLEX OF MULTICELL STORMS MOVING EAST INTO SWRN GA AT
35-40KT ATTM. AIRMASS AHEAD OF THIS CONVECTION WAS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG. WLY FLOW OF 25-30KT
THROUGH MUCH OF THE TROPOSPHERE WAS RESULTING IN LIMITED SHEAR BUT
SUFFICIENT STEERING FLOW TO MAINTAIN LINEAR STORM MODE ACROSS SRN GA
AND PARTS OF NRN FL THROUGH THE EVENING. A FEW LOCATIONS IN SRN GA
HAVE HEATED INTO THE LOW 90S F RESULTING IN STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES THAT COULD SUPPORT ISOLD TO WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AS
THE STORMS MOVE THROUGH. GIVEN WEAK SHEAR..LIMITED ORGANIZATION...
AND DIURNAL TRENDS TOWARD WEAKENING INSTABILITY...A WATCH IS NOT
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

..CARBIN.. 06/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

30618482 31718492 32508513 32798372 32718196 31548158
30658208 

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